The downward revision in the world supply outlook for 2020 is largely due to the scaling down of the outlook for Thailand and India, according to ANRPC. The outlook on the production of NR in Thailand has been scaled down by 332,000 tonnes to 4.478 million tonnes. The country’s revised outlook for 2020 represents a 7.7% decline from the previous year as against a 0.9% anticipated fall reported a month ago.

The harvesting and primary processing of rubber in Thailand are severely affected by acute shortage of labourers. The migrant labourers from neighbouring countries and those from other provinces within the country find it difficult to reach back and resume the various farm management activities including tapping and primary processing. Aggravating the situation, tropical storm ‘Noul’ damaged rubber plantations in several provinces of Thailand in the last week of September besides causing heavy rains, flash floods, and water run-offs.

In August, northern Thailand was hit by the tropical storm ‘Sinlaku’ causing flash floods in 18 northern provinces of the country. The loss in output arising from previous year’s incidence of a new fungal leaf disease is already factored in. Abnormal leaf fall resulting from fungal diseases usually impacts on the yield performance of the affected for two succeeding years.

In India, the production anticipated in 2020 has been scaled down by 42,000 tonnes to 668,000 tonnes, ANRPC study said. The revised outlook represents a 4.8% decline from the previous year as against a 1.1% anticipated increase reported a month ago. The country’s NR production sector is impacted by a burst in the number daily new cases of Covid-19 infections in the State of Kerala since the beginning of September and the abnormal leaf fall caused by the outbreak of Phytophthora leaf disease during July and August. It is reported that the incidence of abnormal leaf fall during this year is less severe compared to the previous year.

Demand fall

There has also been a fall in world consumption of NR by 11.7% y/y to 8.151 million tonnes during the first eight months of 2020 (Jan-Aug), as per preliminary estimates. Based on the revised estimates and forecasts, the world consumption outlook for the full year 2020 is marginally scaled up by 67,000 tonnes to 12.611 million tonnes by representing an 8.4% fall from the previous year. The outlook for 2020 as reported a month ago was 12.544 million tonnes by representing an 8.9% fall from the previous year.

China has marginally revised up its consumption outlook for 2020 in view of an observed earlier-than expected economic recovery and acceleration in growth. A survey conducted by Nikkei revealed that the growth has been more pronounced in the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) improved to 51.5 in September from 51.0 recorded in August and 51.3 anticipated for September, according to a survey conducted by the country’s National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing. The country’s automobile sector has made a major turnaround. The domestic retail sales of passenger vehicles, including minivans, SUVs and multipurpose vehicles, increased 7.4% y/y in September 2020, the third straight monthly gain. The domestic sales of passenger vehicles had increased 6.0% y/y in August 2020.

As per the revised outlook, China is anticipated to consume 5.055 million tonnes of NR during 2020, down 8.9% from the previous year. The country’s consumption outlook for 2020, as reported a month ago was 5.043 million tonnes, down 9.1% from the previous year.

India has scaled-up its consumption outlook for 2020 to 923,000 tonnes from 900,000 tonnes reported earlier in the year. Auto sales in India have made a U-turn. The domestic sales of passenger car increased 31.3% y/y in September 2020, the highest growth over the past 27 months. The trend reversal in passenger car is driven by preference for personal mobility during the pandemic, gradual opening up of markets, easing of supply-chains, labour availability, and excitement of new vehicle launches. The domestic sales of two-wheeler grew 12% y/y in September 2020, the highest growth over the past 21 months. Sales of tractor increased 16% y/y during the month, the highest growth over many years in the past.  The domestic sales of LVC (Light Commercial Vehicles) and M&HCV (Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles) declined by 3.0% each during the month, after double digit declines till August 2020.

Looking ahead, according to ANRPC, the world demand for NR will remain constrained by the uncertainties clouding the global economic recovery, acceleration in the number of new coronavirus cases, reintroduction of control measures and partial lockdowns across countries and a likely long delay in the mass availability of the vaccine. On the positive side, there are increased hopes of further fiscal aid in the US to keep its economy on track. The White House has reportedly raised its stimulus offer from the earlier proposed $1.0 trillion to $1.5 trillion, and further to $1.8 trillion, though that is still short of $2.2 trillion proposed by the Democrats.

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The German Rubber Industry Association (wdk) has expressed deep frustration over the federal government’s failure to act on bureaucratic relief proposals. Association President Michael Klein noted that over the last three years, German industry has enthusiastically submitted concrete ideas to reduce red tape, including 250 top proposals recently put forward by the Federation of German Industries (BDI). Despite this engagement, the government’s current implementation efforts are more than disappointing.

Klein’s criticism follows a response from the Federal Ministry for the Environment regarding faster permitting procedures under the Federal Immission Control Act. Back in 2023, the BDI had proposed simplifying the legally mandated seven plus three month process for industrial plant permits, specifically by ending the need for continuous updates to application documents. The ministry’s suggestion to introduce inter agency expert opinions as an acceleration measure is seen by Klein as a joke. Under existing law, consulted authorities already have two months to comment; if they fail, the permitting authority can order an expert opinion at the defaulting body’s expense. The ministry claims this 2024 regulation sufficiently addresses the industry’s request.

Klein argues that bringing in third party experts instead of making timely decisions creates new delays and uncertainty over costs. Even if the negligent authority is meant to pay, taxpayers ultimately foot the bill. This single issue, while seemingly minor in the broader struggle against bureaucracy, reveals the authorities’ mindset and a profound administrative lack of understanding. Since the BDI’s 2023 proposals, German industry has had to hire 325,000 additional employees just to cope with new bureaucratic demands from Brussels and Berlin.

Klein concluded that these figures speak for themselves, calling on Merz to take immediate action. He also warned that further burdening struggling companies and industrial peace with a half-baked proposal for a voluntary energy bonus is definitely not helpful. The message is clear: bureaucratic overload threatens industry survival, and real relief cannot wait.

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TyreSafe, UK’s charity dedicated to raising tyre safety awareness, is reinforcing a crucial message as UK police intensify enforcement under the National Police Chiefs’ Council’s Operation Spotlight. While the campaign rightly targets seatbelt offences as one of the ‘Fatal Four’, TyreSafe says both seatbelts and tyres play critical roles in road safety – one protects people during a crash, while the other helps prevent the crash from happening at all. The organisation urges drivers to see these safety features as complementary, not interchangeable.

Seatbelts remain among the most effective lifesaving devices, cutting a driver’s death risk by roughly half. Yet dangerous habits persist, especially among younger users. In 2022, four unbelted young people were killed or seriously injured every week, and nearly a third of car occupant fatalities aged 17 to 29 involved no seatbelt. Those aged 17 to 34 have the lowest wearing rates and highest accident risk, with young men most likely to forego a belt on short or familiar night journeys.

A similar neglect appears in tyre safety, particularly among younger drivers. While most motorists prioritise safety when choosing tyres, younger drivers are significantly drawn to performance. Over a third have never heard of the 20p coin test, and despite 72 percent knowing a legal tread depth exists, nearly 3 in 10 cannot name it. Only 40 percent check tyre pressure monthly, and 10 percent admit they never check tread depth.

Younger drivers also face greater risk through part-worn tyres, with more than one in five buying them, rising to 27 percent among under 30s. Worn tyres at 70 mph add 27 metres to stopping distance. In wet motorway conditions, worn tyres affect stopping distance seven times more than alcohol. On average, 153 people are killed or seriously injured annually in defective tyre incidents, with 172 such casualties in 2024.

Forensic investigations reveal that 75 percent of tyre defects linked to fatal crashes stem from poor maintenance, making most preventable. Surviving a crash should never be the first line of defence. Properly maintained tyres provide grip in emergency braking, while seatbelts offer protection when prevention fails. TyreSafe reminds every driver that road safety begins before the crash, not after it.

TyreSafe urges road users to embrace the simple ACT protocol: regular checks of air pressure, condition and tread depth.

Stuart Lovatt, TyreSafe Chair, said, “Operation Spotlight highlights the importance of wearing a seatbelt, and rightly so – seatbelts save lives. But road safety also depends on preventing collisions in the first place. Tyres are the only part of the vehicle that touches the road, and their condition determines braking, grip and control. Checking your tyres once a month using the ACT method is a simple step that could make the difference between a near miss and a serious collision.”

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The Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) recently hosted a significant courtesy visit from Izal Nazrin, Head of the Corporate Communication Unit at the Malaysian Rubber Board (MRB), at its Secretariat. This meeting served as an important opportunity to deepen ties between the two organisations.

Discussions focused on enhancing cooperation in media engagement and joint publication efforts concerning the natural rubber industry. Both sides stressed that strategic communication plays a vital role in raising the sector’s visibility and public awareness, particularly regarding upstream activities such as production and raw material management.

This exchange highlights a mutual dedication to advancing the natural rubber sector through effective partnerships and coordinated outreach. By working together, ANRPC and MRB aim to strengthen industry communication and support sustainable growth across the supply chain.

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Road Ready Foundation, a nonprofit focused on tyre safety and roadside education, has entered a new collaboration with Anyline, a company known for artificial intelligence driven mobile tyre inspections. By joining forces, they plan to use Anyline’s TireBuddy system during live events to show how technology can bring more honesty and uniformity to checking tyre health. Their shared goal is to make safety lessons more hands on and widely available.

The TireBuddy tool is not meant for everyday drivers but rather for service centres and dealerships looking for consistent data and digital records. Trained personnel can measure tread depth using only a smartphone, avoiding the need for special equipment. Major names like Discount Tire, EchoPark and Michelin already use this technology. Road Ready will adapt it as a teaching aid during community outreach, proving that business focused solutions can also serve the public good.

Throughout the coming year, Road Ready will feature TireBuddy in its national roadshows to offer live insights into tyre conditions and dangers. Alex Bebiak, who leads the foundation, will present these demonstrations at the upcoming Lifesavers Conference in Baltimore from 19 to 21 April. Anyline’s co-founder Lukas Kinigadner, who recently joined the Safe Tread Alliance board, believes this partnership shows how corporate tools can reduce preventable roadway harm.

Bebiak helped create the Safe Tread Alliance in 2025, a coalition pushing to modernise American tyre safety rules and phase out outdated habits linked to traffic deaths. This new partnership expands tyre safety education and highlights what industry and nonprofits can achieve together. By blending advanced software with real world demonstrations, Road Ready and Anyline hope to change how tyre safety is taught and understood.

Bebiak said, “For too long, tyre safety has been overlooked in driver education, despite being something every driver can control. This partnership is about using technology for good – taking industry-grade tools and turning them into powerful educational moments that help drivers make safer decisions and prevent tragedies.”

Kinigadner said, “When technology is built responsibly, its impact can extend well beyond its original use case. By partnering with Road Ready Foundation, we are using our technology to support safety education, raise awareness and help drivers better understand the importance of tyre safety.”

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