Uncertainties impact world rubber supply, demand

Uncertainties impact world rubber supply, demand

The downward revision in the world supply outlook for 2020 is largely due to the scaling down of the outlook for Thailand and India, according to ANRPC. The outlook on the production of NR in Thailand has been scaled down by 332,000 tonnes to 4.478 million tonnes. The country’s revised outlook for 2020 represents a 7.7% decline from the previous year as against a 0.9% anticipated fall reported a month ago.

The harvesting and primary processing of rubber in Thailand are severely affected by acute shortage of labourers. The migrant labourers from neighbouring countries and those from other provinces within the country find it difficult to reach back and resume the various farm management activities including tapping and primary processing. Aggravating the situation, tropical storm ‘Noul’ damaged rubber plantations in several provinces of Thailand in the last week of September besides causing heavy rains, flash floods, and water run-offs.

In August, northern Thailand was hit by the tropical storm ‘Sinlaku’ causing flash floods in 18 northern provinces of the country. The loss in output arising from previous year’s incidence of a new fungal leaf disease is already factored in. Abnormal leaf fall resulting from fungal diseases usually impacts on the yield performance of the affected for two succeeding years.

In India, the production anticipated in 2020 has been scaled down by 42,000 tonnes to 668,000 tonnes, ANRPC study said. The revised outlook represents a 4.8% decline from the previous year as against a 1.1% anticipated increase reported a month ago. The country’s NR production sector is impacted by a burst in the number daily new cases of Covid-19 infections in the State of Kerala since the beginning of September and the abnormal leaf fall caused by the outbreak of Phytophthora leaf disease during July and August. It is reported that the incidence of abnormal leaf fall during this year is less severe compared to the previous year.

Demand fall

There has also been a fall in world consumption of NR by 11.7% y/y to 8.151 million tonnes during the first eight months of 2020 (Jan-Aug), as per preliminary estimates. Based on the revised estimates and forecasts, the world consumption outlook for the full year 2020 is marginally scaled up by 67,000 tonnes to 12.611 million tonnes by representing an 8.4% fall from the previous year. The outlook for 2020 as reported a month ago was 12.544 million tonnes by representing an 8.9% fall from the previous year.

China has marginally revised up its consumption outlook for 2020 in view of an observed earlier-than expected economic recovery and acceleration in growth. A survey conducted by Nikkei revealed that the growth has been more pronounced in the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) improved to 51.5 in September from 51.0 recorded in August and 51.3 anticipated for September, according to a survey conducted by the country’s National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing. The country’s automobile sector has made a major turnaround. The domestic retail sales of passenger vehicles, including minivans, SUVs and multipurpose vehicles, increased 7.4% y/y in September 2020, the third straight monthly gain. The domestic sales of passenger vehicles had increased 6.0% y/y in August 2020.

As per the revised outlook, China is anticipated to consume 5.055 million tonnes of NR during 2020, down 8.9% from the previous year. The country’s consumption outlook for 2020, as reported a month ago was 5.043 million tonnes, down 9.1% from the previous year.

India has scaled-up its consumption outlook for 2020 to 923,000 tonnes from 900,000 tonnes reported earlier in the year. Auto sales in India have made a U-turn. The domestic sales of passenger car increased 31.3% y/y in September 2020, the highest growth over the past 27 months. The trend reversal in passenger car is driven by preference for personal mobility during the pandemic, gradual opening up of markets, easing of supply-chains, labour availability, and excitement of new vehicle launches. The domestic sales of two-wheeler grew 12% y/y in September 2020, the highest growth over the past 21 months. Sales of tractor increased 16% y/y during the month, the highest growth over many years in the past.  The domestic sales of LVC (Light Commercial Vehicles) and M&HCV (Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles) declined by 3.0% each during the month, after double digit declines till August 2020.

Looking ahead, according to ANRPC, the world demand for NR will remain constrained by the uncertainties clouding the global economic recovery, acceleration in the number of new coronavirus cases, reintroduction of control measures and partial lockdowns across countries and a likely long delay in the mass availability of the vaccine. On the positive side, there are increased hopes of further fiscal aid in the US to keep its economy on track. The White House has reportedly raised its stimulus offer from the earlier proposed $1.0 trillion to $1.5 trillion, and further to $1.8 trillion, though that is still short of $2.2 trillion proposed by the Democrats.

Apollo Tyres to Invest INR 58 Bln As India Capacity Tightens And Europe Restructures

Apollo Tyres to Invest INR 58 Bln As India Capacity Tightens And Europe Restructures

Apollo Tyres will invest INR 58 billion over three years to expand passenger car and truck tyre capacity at its Andhra Pradesh plant, as utilisation in India moves into the high 80s and truck and bus radial lines approach full capacity.

The board has approved the capital expenditure for financial years 2027 to 2029, with about INR 20 billion scheduled for FY2027. Total consolidated capex in FY2027 is expected to be about INR 30 billion, including roughly INR 7 billion of maintenance and operational spending and ongoing expansion in Hungary.

Neeraj Kanwar, Managing Director And Vice-Chairman, said the company was “running at close to 100 percent utilisation” in truck and bus radial tyres and was seeing shortages in truck, passenger car and farm segments.

For the quarter ended December 2025, consolidated revenue rose nearly 12 percent year on year to INR 77.4 billion, the highest quarterly revenue on both a standalone and consolidated basis, the company said. EBITDA stood at INR 11.9 billion, with a margin of 15.3 percent, compared with 14.9 percent in the previous quarter and 13.7 percent a year earlier.

In India, revenue was INR 51.4 billion, up more than 13 percent, with mid-teens volume growth in OEM and replacement channels and exports growth just short of 20 percent. The company said utilisation across India operations was in the high 80s for both passenger car radial and truck and bus radial tyres.

In Europe, revenue was €180 million, broadly flat year on year, reflecting a subdued market. The European passenger car replacement market declined 4 percent in the quarter. EBITDA in Europe was €32 million, with a margin of 17.9 percent, compared with 17.7 percent a year earlier and 12.7 percent in the preceding quarter.

In Europe, the group will close its Enschede plant in the Netherlands by the end of June 2026. Production is being transitioned to Hungary and India. Management expects the benefits of the restructuring to begin flowing through from the second half of FY2027, although it declined to provide margin guidance.

The India expansion will lift passenger car tyre capacity by 10,500 tyres per day from an existing base of about 58,000 tyres per day, an increase of 17–18 percent. Truck and bus radial capacity of more than 15,000 tyres per day will rise by 3,600 tyres per day, or more than 20 percent. Some capacity will come on stream in FY2028, with the full benefit expected by FY2030.

Gaurav Kumar, Chief Financial Officer, said the expansion equates to roughly INR 170 million per metric tonne of added capacity, compared with INR 115-120 million per tonne in the previous Andhra investment in FY2021. The increase reflects “inflationary pressures” and the adoption of “state-of-the-art” technology to cater to global OEMs in India, Europe and the US.

He added that the decision marked a shift from incremental debottlenecking to larger civil construction. “We reached a stage where we could not further increase the capacity by line balancing and hence, any further increase in capacity needed civil,” Kumar said.

The company expects to take on some additional debt during the capex cycle. Consolidated net debt fell to INR 13 billion at the end of December 2025, from INR 26 billion at the end of September, driven by lower short-term borrowings and stronger operational cash flow. Net debt to EBITDA declined to 0.4 times from 0.8 times.

Kumar said net debt to EBITDA would remain below the long-term ceiling of 2.0 times “even at the peak levels” of capex.

Return on capital employed is running at 13.5 percent, below the 15 percent target previously outlined by the group. Management said it would revisit capital allocation and return metrics as it formulates a new five-year plan to March 2031.

On raw materials, the company expects costs to remain steady in the fourth quarter. In the December quarter, natural rubber was about INR 195 per kg, synthetic rubber INR 170 per kg, carbon black INR 115 per kg and steel cord about INR 155 per kg.

Apollo does not hedge rubber or crude oil. “We came to the conclusion to stay away from rubber or crude oil hedging,” Kumar said. Foreign currency borrowings are fully hedged, while operational exposure in India is hedged between 75 percent and 100 per cent.

Kuraray Profit Slumps On Impairments

Kuraray Profit Slumps On Impairments

Kuraray Co., Ltd. reported a sharp fall in net profit for 2025 after recording impairment losses in its isoprene and elastomer businesses, even as operating cash flow remained positive and the group outlined a recovery in 2026.

The Japanese chemicals group posted net sales of USD 5.27 billion for the year to December 31 2025, down 2.2 percent from USD 5.39 billion year earlier. Operating income declined 30.8 percent to USD 383.7 million, while ordinary income fell 36.8 percent to USD 335.0 million.

Net income attributable to owners of the parent dropped 76.5 percent to USD 48.9 million, reflecting extraordinary losses that included USD 193.5 million in impairment charges related to the isoprene chemical business and thermoplastic styrene elastomers.

Total assets rose to USD 8.49 billion at year end from USD 8.44 billion , while net assets fell to USD 4.92 billion, resulting in an equity ratio of 57.0 percent. Interest-bearing debt increased, contributing to a rise in total liabilities.

Net cash provided by operating activities amounted to USD 642.3 million, compared with USD 901 million in the previous year. Investing activities used USD 641 million, largely for capital expenditure, and financing activities used USD 106.5 million, including USD 196.1 million in share buybacks and USD 113.7 million in dividends. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period stood at USD 705.5 million.

By segment, vinyl acetate sales declined 2.5 percent to USD 2.64 billion while the isoprene business recorded sales growth of 5.3 percent to USD 523.8 million but remained loss-making. Functional materials sales were broadly flat, while operating income fell. Fibres and textiles saw lower sales but improved profitability. Trading sales edged higher.

For 2026, Kuraray forecasts net sales of USD 5.54 billion and operating income of USD 456.0 million. Net income attributable to owners of the parent is expected to recover to USD 260.6 million.

Dara Jehangir Bharucha, Veteran of India’s Rubber Industry, Passes Away

Dara Jehangir Bharucha, a respected stalwart of India’s rubber and polymer industry with a career spanning more than six decades, has passed away today. He was 90.

Born on January 12, 1936, in Mumbai, Bharucha graduated from St. Xavier’s College in 1955 before embarking on a distinguished professional journey in the technical side of the rubber sector. He began his career with Firestone Tyre Company in Bombay, working in its technical department during a formative phase for India’s tyre industry.

He later joined Philips Carbon Black Ltd in West Bengal, where he was associated with testing the first lot of carbon black produced in India — a milestone in the domestic rubber value chain. In 1972, Bharucha moved to Bayer, rising to become Regional Technical Manager and subsequently Technical and Development Manager at the company’s Thane headquarters.

Following his retirement, he continued contributing to the industry by joining the Bhimrajka Group in 1996, a leading distributor of performance polymers and chemicals in India. Even in his later years, Bharucha remained actively engaged with the All India Rubber Industries Association (AIRIA), participating in technical forums, seminars and industry deliberations.

Colleagues remember him as a technically rigorous professional with an unwavering commitment to industry development. His career mirrored the evolution of India’s rubber and polymer ecosystem — from import dependence to domestic capability.

Sanjay Sharma, JK Tyre Motorsport Pioneer, Dies at 61

Sanjay Sharma, JK Tyre Motorsport Pioneer, Dies at 61

Sanjay Sharma, Head of Corporate Communication and Motorsport at JK Tyre & Industries Ltd, passed away on Wednesday at the age of 61. A central architect of organised racing in India, Sharma, widely known in Indian motorsport circles as “Hardy”, leaves behind a legacy that reshaped the country’s motorsport ecosystem over three decades.

Sharma joined JK Tyre & Industries Ltd in 1994 with a mandate to professionalise its fledgling motorsport division. At a time when structured racing pathways in India were limited, he built a formal competitive framework that would become the backbone of the sport domestically.

In 1997, he spearheaded the launch of the JK Tyre National Racing Championship, creating a sustained talent pipeline for aspiring drivers. The championship went on to nurture several Indian racers who would make their mark internationally, including Narain Karthikeyan, Karun Chandhok, Aditya Patel and Armaan Ebrahim.

Beyond circuit racing, Sharma broadened JK Tyre’s footprint across rallying, karting and grassroots motorsport development. In 2000, he was instrumental in introducing organised karting championships in India — a decisive step in creating an entry-level ladder for young drivers. His long-term vision emphasised early talent identification and structured progression to international competition.

Under his stewardship, JK Tyre also strengthened its presence in rallying, supporting prominent drivers such as Gaurav Gill, while expanding competitive platforms across formats. Colleagues and competitors alike credit Sharma with institutionalising professionalism in an industry that had previously operated in fragmented pockets.

Tributes from across the Indian motorsport fraternity poured in on Thursday, describing him as a mentor, strategist and relentless advocate for the sport. Many credited his administrative foresight and corporate stewardship for laying the foundation upon which India’s contemporary racing structure stands.