By G Unnikrishnan, Senior Vice President at JK Tyre & Industries Ltd

While relentlessly working to meet these ever-growing demands through the addition of new capacities and capital spending, the tyre industry encounters the additional challenge of having to keep up with even faster advancements in the technology in their products and processes

The global tyre market, with a current production base of about 3 billion units - including replacement and OEM markets - is expected to surpass $300 billion by 2023 with a nearly 5 per cent world average CAGR. This growth is enabled by rising demand, healthy economic trends, vehicle production, and after-market demand from a wide variety of end-users worldwide.

While relentlessly working to meet these ever-growing demands through the addition of new capacities and capital spending, the tyre industry encounters the additional challenge of having to keep up with even faster advancements in the technology in their products and processes. Here are five key drivers coming from different directions for the tyre industry. They are incremental and radical innovations in products, customer demands in performance/delivery, environmental concerns and regulations, and need to improve manufacturing efficiency.

While these developments are promising and bring with them high-growth opportunities, they require tyre manufacturers to continually modify their products and processes to keep up. Tyre producers and, as a consequence, their machine and technology suppliers face a risk of obsolescence of their production assets with each adopted innovation.

Consequently, the future of any tyre or machinery manufacturer hinges on their ability to seamlessly adapt to this plethora of changes and forge ahead to new areas of profit not to be left behind by competitors.

This article is an attempt to understand how the tyre industry can navigate the tricky waves of change such that they not only manage to stay afloat in the industry but also thrive by grasping emerging opportunities. Tyre companies need to deep-dive into the drivers, enablers, and the resulting technological impact on machine manufacturers (see figure 1), and chart a mitigation strategy

Drivers and Enablers

1) Incremental product innovations - evolutionary progression in the industry.

One major area of focus in the tyre sector presently is energy-saving tyres, one that will only increase in prominence in the future. Expanding to energy-saving tyres, however, will prove to be tricky for machinery manufacturers since some of the essential processes involved - Lightweighting, special compounds, and thinner components - put considerable pressure on extrusion, stock preparation, handling, and assembly. Compounding and mixing area will see more of new processes such as liquid phase mixing and advanced materials.

When it comes to truck tyres, wide base technology will gain momentum in low RR radial tyres. As a result, there will be an increased need for tyre building machine to have advanced Centering and Application systems to reduce the impact of splices and improve component Centering for tyre appearance and quality.

2) Radical product innovations: Revolutionary changes in the industry

Profound transformations in the automotive field like smart tyres, electric mobility and autonomous driving call for more innovative concepts in tyre design and production.

Similarly, emerging concepts like run-flat tyres, air-less tyres and 3D printed tyres entail special features in machinery. Any tyre machinery manufacturer that wishes to remain relevant and differentiate globally needs to evolve rapidly, particularly in technology.

3) Changing customer delivery demands: Dynamic in nature

Car models are increasing in number and so is the complexity of tyre designs, resulting in more tyre variety and smaller lot sizes needing more number of moulds and quick changes in different process equipment and moulds. Also, the machines that manufacture should have flexibility and agility features to adapt swiftly to increasing product complexity and customer specifications.

Finally, as a machinery manufacturer, one must ensure the tyres produced using the machinery has the highest manufacturing accuracy and consistency to meet the customers’ specifications meeting overall quality standards and make tyre production competitive in this volatile market developments.

4) Manufacturing efficiency - a perpetual process

Tyre producers will continue to face increased competition on price, quality, delivery and pressure to reduce the tyre development life cycle, perform with fewer employees amid frequently changing product performance demands. Scarcity and growing costs for real estate is another major challenge. Hence enhancing the process efficiency in every stage of their manufacturing process would be an emphasis.

Compounding and Mixing fields bear the most significant potential to enhance efficiency with Liquid phase mixing and Automation. In the curing process, split component curing of tread and carcass separately is foreseen to dominate the industry eventually. So is the shift from mechanical to hydraulic and electric movements. Electric heating and steam elimination are also gaining popularity.

End-to-end traceability of all materials and components throughout the manufacturing and supply chain will be mandatory in the future.

5) Exponential technology: It is Automation Now:

Growing dependence on automation technologies by tyre manufacturers to meet the changing demands by performing operations such as processing, assembly, inspection, or material handling, in some cases accomplishing more than one of these operations in the same system is a welcoming trend. It is needless to state that Automating a manufacturing operation increases production rate, uniformity, conformity to quality specifications, reduction of defect rate, and manufacturing lead time, thereby reducing the work-in-process inventory. Process consistency is another critical area of paramount importance. The work is also made safer.

A higher level of automation in TBM is foreseen while it transports and assembles various components to build green tyres. TBM of the future will be with quicker and more accurate synchronisation system to give better tension control and edge placements, ergonomics and safety. A key role will be played by automated testing and data analysis technologies which can supplement traditional inspection to reduce errors and increase cost-efficiency. Consequently, higher investment in automation has become economically justifiable to replace manual operations.

Industry 4.0 : Quantum Leap in Performance:

In recent years, the traditional manufacturing industry is challenged worldwide with the digital transformation that is accelerated by exponentially growing technologies(e.g. intelligent robots, autonomous drones, sensors, 3D printing). Digitalisation allows easy integration of interconnected smart components inside the shop floor, that is the basis of the so-called Industry 4.0, and that is made possible by the widespread adoption of information and communication technologies by manufacturing companies. Major tyre manufacturers and their suppliers now are fully embracing the opportunities being presented by digital manufacturing taking full advantage of digitalisation and making use of new business models make it possible to get there.

The resulting conflict

The above mentioned best practice technologies representing the diffusion of innovation need to be implemented into the production process regularly and also when making new investment decisions in capital stock. This cycle of regular initiatives will lead to machinery upgrades and fall squarely onto the machinery manufacturers and even obsolescence risk of the current asset of tyre producers.

Machinery manufacturers, on the other hand, foreseeing the emerging challenges from tyre companies, are often confounded when investing in new technology. It is unthinkable to converge both at a breakneck pace. Years pass between the upgrades for both and risk of the business falling behind competitors grows. The goal of tyre producers and machinery manufacturers is to resolve these conflicts by synchronising and converging to meet the demands proactively.

Summarising, it is the brisk pace of change by tyre manufacturers, exponential technologies and automation that is driving tyre machinery manufacturers to invest more in R&D, evolve rapidly in technology that is leading to the obsolescence in capital asset.

A Mitigation Strategy: From Talk to Action

In many cases, the more pragmatic approach for tyre manufacturers would be to mitigate obsolescence risk instead of attempting to eliminate it. Following is a step-by-step method to doing so during this regular cadence of innovation. (Refer to fig 2 for a comprehensive outline)

To reap maximum benefit, tyre manufacturers need to implement their mitigation strategy in the form of an organisation-wide initiative, addressing both new projects (in “structural” approach) and regular operations (in an “infrastructural” approach).

This means that in addition to focusing on mitigation in new projects, tyre manufacturers must also continuously enhance the value of their current assets. Ultimately, they can succeed in building a sustainable ecosystem capable of thriving in an ever-changing industry if they perform a sort of an organisational and cultural transformation of their entire system.

Though specific mitigation strategies will vary from one organisation to another, I have distilled the initiatives into five distinct pillars to prepare the best-practice plan:

1. New Project Philosophy

2. Manufacturing Process Philosophy

3. Organisational Transformation

4. Enhancement of value of current capital assets

5. Product planning

For a good reason, when a company embarks on capacity expansion, it is essential to have a project philosophy to stick to. Such a philosophy involves paying attention to flexibility in process and machinery, scalability, and retrofittability, besides capital productivity and process efficiency. Keeping pace with current trends in machinery and digital technology is also vital. Various disciplines in manufacturing such as Automation, Exponential Technology, OEE, Energy efficiency, smaller equipment footprint, and equipment with Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) need to align well to avert investment risk effectively.

It is imperative to avoid isolated patches of automated systems. Adopting an “Open process automation” (OPA) vision is far easier to maintain and update leads to enhanced value addition. Doing so will gain additional traction to eventually replace large CapEx automation retrofit programs with smaller OpEx programs. Standardisation is another crucial and common layer which cut across machines, parts, processes, materials, components and toolings.

On the manufacturing process philosophy front, using the lean approach to seek opportunities to simplify the process and cut non-value adding steps is a major step for process agility and efficiency. The lean approach through a Near Net Shape process (NNS) by getting rid and combining of process step (for, e.g., calendar-less belt/body ply making), incorporating more concurrent steps and transforming semi-continuous processes to continuous processes is the way.

Tyre companies should seriously consider modularity and flexibility to be amenable for scalability, extensibility, mass customisation, and to reduce the risk of upfront investment. Modularity and flexibility will also enable them to move closer to customers and to have agility. To maximise the benefit, continuous progression in process technology is necessary, which will give inputs to the above project philosophy. Faster adoption of exponential technologies and Industry 4.0 compliance will dramatically boost the effectiveness of the mitigation plan. The loop will be completed when the project plan drives product engineering and eventually aligns products to the finalised plan.

It’s time to realise, also for a good reason, that attention must be paid to organisational transformation initiatives such as co-creation with customers and vendors, speeding-up the technology trend for first-mover advantage and shifting from product features back to service to customers by assisting capability building. Building the ecosystem proactively before product innovations, having technical change as part of investment analysis, moving from CapEx to OpEx by out-sourcing of customised semi-finished stocks (for, e.g., compounds) and components and capability building in emerging technologies by taking full support of machine manufacturer is critical. Another fundamental mindset change needed is valuing “generalists” rather than “specialists” as it is the key to creative breakthroughs involving recombining or reimagining things that already exist. All these initiatives eventually will lead to foreseeing the requirements well in advance and reengineering and upgrading the assets to contemporary level in functionality with minimum investments at a more predictive pace.

I would also like to emphasise that, while investing in the right technology is essential, the biggest challenge is not limited to selection - ultimately success or failure depends on the timing and requires assessing the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) and exploiting the full potential of new technologies.

Additionally, a robust technology forecasting and product/process lifecycle management by creating a “sunset” policy for older products and machinery are paramount to cover investment risks. Another key initiative is on the product front - efforts should be put to increase the market share of current products through value enhancement and penetration of new markets. Product migration using adjacent technologies with appropriate reconfiguration in processes and layout is also vital. These initiatives will enhance the value of current capital assets and as a result, boost risk mitigation.

Now What?

The underlying goal of a mitigation strategy is to quantify the risk involved and determine the measures that make most business sense to soften the impending obsolescence. A phased approach would be to first identify and define the goals and scope of the obsolescence plan with dedicated qualified resources. Next is to prioritise the measures bringing the most value to the business and making sure they are aligned with the company vision.

It would help to initiate pilot projects and capability building to better plan for adopting advancing technology and ease the shift to the next paradigm, allowing you to embrace the future in stride. Make sure company leadership is ready and willing to champion your approach with a broader range of factors in mind focussing on an ecosystem.

Charting an action plan for the investments and technology needed such that there is minimum risk is a demanding task. Doing this will enable them to expand the firm’s productive capacity and produce quality tyres that are cost-competitive by infusion of modern technologies and that meet customer demands. The investment would turn attractive after a reasonable period putting the business on a more robust and competitive footing.

But the optimism is that companies responsive to automotive market trends and fast-changing technologies with a robust risk assessment and technology management will come out on top.

G. Unnikrishnan is a tyre technical professional with over 30 years’ experience. He is currently Senior Vice President at JK Tyre & Industries Ltd. The opinions and observations presented here are his own and do not represent that of any company or organisation

 

 

Bridgestone Americas announced the launch of Firestone Direct mobile vehicle service for car owners and fleet operators. Firestone Direct brings Bridgestone’s automotive services directly to vehicle owners’ homes or workplaces to offer maximum convenience with safe, contact-free service.

This service uses specially equipped vans operated by certified technicians to perform a wide range of maintenance services, including fluid and filter changes, tire repair and replacement, battery check and replacement, and more. 

Through 2021, Firestone Direct will continue to grow into additional markets across the southeastern U.S., with plans to expand nationwide by 2023. The new service launched first in Nashville and Atlanta and expanded into Orlando and Tampa in March.

Angie Oleson, director of Firestone Direct, said, “Customers are increasingly turning to online shopping and at-home services for convenience and safety, and Firestone Direct is at the forefront of this movement for at-home car care. By bringing trusted vehicle care featuring the latest automotive technologies directly to the customer, Firestone Direct can leverage the expertise of our trained technicians with the ease of online booking and at-home service for maximum convenience.” (TT)

 

The global electric vehicle (EV) market has taken a tremendous leap forward, with new registrations reaching record market shares in nearly all countries. For the tyre development landscape, the accelerating growth of the EV market means a pervasive transformation.

Boosting circular economy

At Black Donuts, the impact of the EV trend can be seen everywhere, from the tyre designers’ desks to the new practices of tyre testing. Beyond meeting new demands of the EV sector, the procedures and practices are tuned to serve the company’s strategic goal: to spearhead the industry’s shift towards a circular economy.

Black Donuts launched the first EV tyre development projects with its tyre manufacturer customers in 2018. The internal research on EV tyres was initiated even before, at the time of the first EVs entering the market. “The first research project addressed the primary technological challenges: rolling resistance and noise,” says lkka Lehtoranta, Head of Tire and Material Development at Black Donuts.

In tyre design, it is essential to focus on specific aspects to ensure optimal performance for electric cars. Compared to combustion cars, tyres for Evs must carry a heavier load withstand high instant torque – and be efficient and quiet. 

Lately, the focus on tyre technology has shifted towards more comprehensive sustainability. Bio-based materials and compounds are opening new possibilities, and the rapid growth of the EV market accelerates the pace of development. ”The EV trend has highlighted the sustainability of tyres. The demand for bio-based materials and tyre recyclability has significantly increased,” says Jarkko Mällinen, Technology Development Manager of Black Donuts.

In cooperation with its partners, Black Donuts is investigating new possibilities to replace fossil-fuel-based raw materials with bio-based or renewable materials in all products, including studded tyres. The company is currently testing the use of bio-based plastics in stud bodies.

Also, end-of-life tyres are a hot topic in the industry, and Black Donuts is researching how the waste tyres can be recirculated and recycled back into the process. Even the tyre development process is undergoing a renaissance. New design tools for faster tyre development are being introduced, emphasising the key features of sustainable, future proof tyres.

European PCLT (passenger car and light truck) tyre manufacturing capacity has risen over the past decade to meet increased demand, but there has been a major shift from plants in Western Europe, towards Central Europe and Russia. The move eastwards reflects substantial differences in operating costs between the two regions, specifically in terms of labour costs. Hourly labour rates in Central and Eastern Europe can typically be half to one quarter of those in the highest cost Western European countries. In particular this significant differential has resulted in the transfer of production of lower priced non-premium tyres to larger plants in Central and Eastern Europe. Numerous PCLT plant closures and downsizings in Western Europe have either been announced or enacted during the past 18 months.

In 2019 Cooper Tires ended PCLT tyre production at its small plant in the UK, and Michelin recently closed the PCLT tyre plant in Dundee that manufactured tier-1 brand tyres in lower rim-diameters (≤16”), a shrinking segment of the European market. These closures leave just the two PCLT tyre facilities operating in the country: the Pirelli plants that focus on low volume but high-margin premium tyres.

In Germany, Michelin has announced plans to close its Bamburg plant that also focused on lower-rim -diameter tyres, whilst Goodyear is restructuring operations at its PCLT tyre facilities located in Fulda and Hanau. Total capacity there will fall, but there will be an increase in production of premium tyres.

Pirelli has recently ceased production of car tyres at its Bollate plant in Italy, its only facility in Western or Central Europe that was manufacturing non-premium car tyres. Apollo Tyres plans to downsize PCLT capacity at its plant in the high-cost Netherlands, focusing the facility on high value tyres with short production runs. Management had stated that the company lost money on 70% of the PCLT tyres that it sold from the facility.

Despite these closures in Western Europe, expansion to the east is expected to result in the net addition of 30 million units of PCLT tyre capacity across Europe* by 2026. New plants that have been recently opened, or are currently under construction, are located in either central and eastern Europe or Russia. In 2017, Apollo Tyres opened a greenfield plant in Hungary, with first-phase capacity increasing to 5.5 million PCLT tyres and almost 0.7 million TBR tyres. Supply from the facility has substituted imports from India and now permits the planned downsizing and specialisation of production in the Netherlands.

In 2018, Hankook announced plans to add production of TBR tyres at its plant in Hungary, however this expansion was put on hold in late 2019. In phases, the company has already expanded PCLT tyre capacity until it is now one of the largest such facilities in the world. Meanwhile, Nexen has begun the ramp-up of capacity at its new plant in the Czech Republic; this will have added substantially to the country’s capacity by 2023.

In addition to further investments across Central and Eastern Europe by Continental Tire, Bridgestone and Pirelli, an expansion of premium tyre capacity in Slovenia has also been announced by Goodyear.

In mid-2019 Toyo Tire announced its intention to build a new tyre plant in Serbia, consolidating the country’s position as the leading location for new PCLT tyre manufacturing capacity in Europe. This follows Linglong’s decision to build its new European plant in the country and Cooper Tire’s plan to double the size of its facility. Based on analysis by Astutus Research of all announced capacity actions (plant opening and expansion net of closures and downsizing), Serbia will account for over 40% of planned capacity additions between 2019 and 2026.

Toyo expects to invest €390 million in its new facility that will have a capacity of 5 million units. It intends to start production in early 2022 and reach full capacity the following summer. Linglong’s facility will have a capacity of 12 million PCLT tyres, alongside truck and radial agricultural tyres, built in three phases and representing a total investment of over €800 million.

Serbia as new hub

Although there is demand for both replacement and original equipment PCLT tyres in Serbia, the domestic market is amongst the smallest in Europe and production will be export focused. The country has already emerged as a key source of budget tyres to the European Union and to Russia, predominantly from Tigar Tyre, Michelin’s low-cost tyre subsidiary, that has significantly increased capacity and production in the past decade.

Geographically, Serbia is well located to supply the major markets of the EU and Russia, and benefits from free trade agreements with both. Labour costs in the country are significantly lower than in the Czech Republic or Hungary, and labour availability is good, with a higher rate of unemployment.

 

At present Toyo imports tyres to Europe from its facilities in Japan and Malaysia; Linglong utilises its PCLT tyre plants in China and Thailand. Both companies aim to develop their presence in Europe, and local production should help them in this quest, particularly in the original equipment segment where the significantly shorter lead times will improve the competitiveness of their offer. Similarly, the opportunity to increase their share of the OE business was one of the motivations for Nexen and Apollo to replace imports to open a plant in the region.

Whilst the influence of the Covid-19 virus may slow the pace of some planned investment in central and eastern Europe, it has already accelerated the pace of closures in the west. Furthermore, we expect that it will result in further plant closures there, as the decline in European tyre demand dramatically reduces plant utilisation rates.

*Europe refers to Western, Central and Eastern Europe, including Russia and CIS, but excludes Turkey which we include in the Middle East & Africa region.

For capacity data: ‘Western Europe’ includes plants in Germany, France, Spain, Italy, the UK, Portugal, the Netherlands, Finland and Luxembourg. ‘Central Europe’ refers to Poland, Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic, Serbia, Slovakia and Slovenia. ‘Russia and CIS’ refers to Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Uzbekistan.

• Simon Hodson is Research Director at Astutus Research shodson@astutusresearch.com

The WHO has said that the outbreak is now officially a Pandemic. People/ companies/ organisations are still coming to grips on how to address the situation. Government heads of various countries are trying to curb the situation by restricting entries of people who are affected by countries that are affected the most. Thus, airlines would have only diplomats and other certain levels of people allowed to fly.  Many airlines have suspended a good number of their flights.  Many companies will be looking to take a hair cut on what they take back with them, just to see that business can be sustained during the trying situations. 

The virus has led various markets to crash, courier services have been curtailed in certain countries. All types of cancellations, be it sport, expositions or business, have affected the business world over. The transaction value in the losses may be difficult to gauge currently, however, it could be in the millions. Contracts would have to be reworked, and companies may have to come with new strategies. 

However, in every situation, there would be also a business opportunity, if you work your strategy right. The sale of masks, gloves, hand sanitisers, medical devices would be able to generate good business. Though it is seen that the outbreak is from China, you also got to give to them as to how they are trying to contain the situation by building hospital/s within 10 days. In other countries, this would easily have taken a much longer time period. 

It is a given that the business scenario is not going to be the best for most of the companies; Therefore, companies may have to think and reevaluate the way they are currently running their company. Companies will look to get leaner in every possible way. Cut down on unwanted expenses. Many companies have started asking their employees to work from home. Some may look to have lesser number of people and look to automate some of the work, especially in the factories.  Commercial properties being an expensive asset to maintain, some companies may look to perhaps go on rented co working spaces. Use less of one time use items like plastic and use more renewable/ reusable substitutes. Use of more environment friendly methods going forward will be the mantra. 

This hit on our social system in a way will make us pause, think and have better suggestions as to how to look after ourselves and our environment at large.